Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 6.277257 7.278257 8.350904 9.581693 10.950651 12.422311 14.119669
2025-05-18 4.591921 5.893412 7.396380 9.243578 11.435101 13.934336 16.981219
2025-05-25 3.453458 4.886317 6.661404 8.982992 11.897202 15.391067 19.849572
2025-06-01 2.704805 4.199797 6.177273 8.912693 12.520021 17.032957 23.014713
2025-06-08 2.133687 3.629342 5.736239 8.806837 13.041204 18.541831 26.076604
2025-06-15 1.854383 3.413443 5.730245 9.255441 14.294970 21.039169 30.516552
2025-06-22 1.527023 3.057057 5.461114 9.282887 14.945716 22.747595 33.984598
2025-06-29 1.187734 2.608730 4.980217 8.928085 14.997557 23.609178 36.320678
2025-07-06 0.914678 2.212952 4.517070 8.532294 14.930254 24.265991 38.368079
2025-07-13 0.824106 2.139080 4.577429 8.964033 16.126816 26.777762 43.115735
2025-07-20 0.782639 2.154437 4.791608 9.659610 17.765034 29.998618 48.991459
2025-07-27 0.720774 2.113351 4.894603 10.167946 19.126094 32.853423 54.426195
2025-08-03 0.608119 1.939344 4.734157 10.218571 19.774665 34.699125 58.510268
2025-08-10 0.483002 1.702429 4.415723 9.952557 19.877693 35.707250 61.383461
2025-08-17 0.384335 1.501746 4.137538 9.726503 20.022750 36.775218 64.374923
2025-08-24 0.316426 1.362501 3.966048 9.680095 20.464120 38.318658 68.133218
2025-08-31 0.257066 1.227352 3.780487 9.583174 20.801954 39.698894 71.673833
2025-09-07 0.238170 1.215898 3.881103 10.071868 22.220023 42.898488 78.169252
2025-09-14 0.199469 1.122605 3.768974 10.106605 22.801641 44.725459 82.532203
2025-09-21 0.150881 0.969754 3.478947 9.730180 22.584926 45.192604 84.716626
2025-09-28 0.111011 0.827343 3.185358 9.308222 22.243718 45.419079 86.499897
2025-10-05 0.103412 0.825408 3.280009 9.771308 23.647751 48.709087 93.398006
2025-10-12 0.103603 0.861921 3.490075 10.515806 25.638940 53.080162 102.182763